The next are betting suggestions for chosen video games in Spherical 20 of the 2025 AFL season.
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Draftstars have a $50,000 fantasy sports activities contest for the Hawthorn v Carlton conflict on Thursday night time. Entry prices $15 and the highest 25% of individuals will obtain a payout.
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Hawthorn vs. Carlton |
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Carlton’s Charlie Curnow has rediscovered good kind and Harry McKay is scheduled to return, but it surely’s onerous to miss Hawthorn. Over the previous twelve months, the Hawks boast a 9-1 file (7-3 on the line) as the house favorite, whereas Carlton have gone 1-5 within the head-to-head and line because the away underdog. The important thing to Hawthorn’s success is defence. The Hawks have conceded simply 64.8 factors per recreation at house this season, which is the perfect file within the league. In each for and away video games, Hawthorn have conceded simply 74.3 factors on common. They now tackle a Carlton facet that has seen 20 of it’s 24 video games during the last twelve months go underneath the bookmaker’s whole. This recreation can be performed on the MCG, which has seen a mean of 162.6 factors per recreation this season. Carlton’s 9 video games at this venue this 12 months averaged 148.4 whole factors. This noticed eight of their 9 video games go underneath the entire. Hawthorn have averaged 159.6 whole factors on the MCG, which noticed six of their seven video games go underneath the entire. On account of Curnow kicking targets once more and Harry McKay doubtlessly returning, I’ll tack on some factors to the 160.5 set by bookmakers. I can even again Carlton to maintain the margin beneath 40.
My performs for this recreation are:
Hawthorn 1-39 at 2.15 (Dabble)
Below 169.5 at 1.50 (bet365)
SGM: Hawthorn 1-39 & Below 170 at 2.80 (bet365)
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GWS vs. Sydney |
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It is a nice recreation for the impartial. Sydney’s 5-1 run has seen them surge again into finals rivalry, however their probabilities stay slim and a defeat this week would put one nail within the coffin. All too completely happy to produce that nail are the Giants, who’ve suffered by means of 5 straight defeats to their NSW rivals. The Swans have received 4 in a row away in opposition to the Giants and so they lined the road of their final seven away in opposition to GWS. This spherical seems like a main alternative for the Giants to finish that streak, nevertheless. They’ve received and lined the road of their final 5 video games and so they solely misplaced by a 14-point margin on the SCG in Could. Sydney’s final two wins noticed them fail to cowl the road and final week’s efficiency in opposition to North Melbourne was notably underwhelming. I anticipate this to be a aggressive contest, so I want the margin market to the head-to-head.
I might again GWS 1-39 at 2.15 (Dabble).
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Gold Coast vs. Brisbane |
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Queensland derbies are usually low-scoring affairs and, with a excessive likelihood of rain on Saturday, that pattern seems set to proceed. The Suns have a repute for being hampered in moist circumstances, which explains why Brisbane have firmed for the reason that markets opened. The Lions received and lined the road of their final 4 video games. Brisbane additionally lined the road of their final 4 away fixtures. Within the head-to-heads, Brisbane lined the road of their final three clashes in opposition to Gold Coast. In recent times the Lions have gone 7-3 because the away favorite in opposition to the Suns.
My performs for this recreation are:
Brisbane 1-39 at 2.25 (Dabble)
Below 164.5 at 1.50 (bet365)
SGM: Brisbane 1-39 & Below 170 at 2.75 (bet365)
Please keep watch over the climate forecast. If rain doesn’t look probably, then I might keep on the sideline.
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Fremantle vs. West Coast |
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Fremantle have received eight of their final 9 as they proceed their hunt for a top-4 end. Their wins over Hawthorn and Collingwood could have the Dockers feeling they will beat anybody. The one danger this week is complacency. West Coast limp into this recreation on the again of eight consecutive defeats. Their 1-17 file for the season speaks for itself. Their 56-105 house defeat to Richmond final week is especially demoralising. The Eagles have gone 1-8 within the head-to-head and 3-6 on the line at Optus Stadium this 12 months, so the house venue has offered no respite to their depressing marketing campaign. Provided that the Dockers are certainly one of 4 groups tied on 48 factors, they might choose to maintain the foot down to enhance their proportion this week. Clutching at straws, the 2 elements in West Coast’s favour is that they have had an additional day’s relaxation in comparison with Fremantle and so they haven’t needed to journey, whereas the Dockers performed in Melbourne final week. The 50.5 line seems about proper, so I might merely again Fremantle within the head-to-head. Think about including it to your multis.
I might again Fremantle within the head-to-head at 1.06 (Betfair).
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North Melbourne vs. Geelong |
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North Melbourne proceed to be a three-quarter group. They work onerous and keep within the contest for 3 quarters earlier than they fall away within the fourth. They now tackle Geelong, a facet they’ve misplaced 13 video games in a row to. The Cats lined the road of their final 5 wins over the Kangaroos. The typical profitable margin throughout these video games was 69.8 and the median was 62. The excellent news for North Melbourne is Geelong have misplaced and did not cowl the road of their final three visits to Marvel Stadium. The unhealthy information for North Melbourne is their very own 3-24 file at this venue, going again to March, 2023. The Kangaroos have gone 1-6 at Marvel Stadium this season.
I might again Geelong within the head-to-head at 1.11 (Betfair). These on the lookout for extra danger ought to contemplate Geelong 25+ at 1.38 (Dabble).
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Adelaide vs. Port Adelaide |
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The final 4 conferences between the Crows and Energy went underneath the entire and, with moist climate forecast on Friday and Saturday, one other low-scoring recreation seems probably. Adelaide’s final three video games went underneath the entire, whereas 9 of Port Adelaide’s 11 ‘away’ video games during the last twelve months went underneath the entire.
I might again Below 168.5 at 1.50 (bet365).
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Richmond vs. Collingwood |
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The Tigers have their tails up following uncommon back-to-back wins, whereas the Magpies are regrouping following uncommon back-to-back defeats. The Collingwood 1-39 choose is nice worth given Richmond have averted 40+ margins of defeat in 8 of their final 18 losses. As for Collingwood, 11 of their final 18 wins have been by 1-39 margins. The Tigers’ final two defeats to the Magpies have been by 14 and 26 level margins. Showers are forecast for Saturday and Sunday, which might assist put a dampener on the profitable margin.
I might again Collingwood 1-39 at 2.65 (Dabble). This choice is as little as 2.40 with different main bookmakers on the time of writing.
